Using SDDP to Develop Water-Value Functions for a Multireservoir System with International Treaties
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper presents the implementation of stochastic dual dynamic programming (SDDP) to generate water-value functions for operations planning of the British Columbia (BC) Hydro system. An inflow model is developed to generate stochastic seasonal volumes forecasts and monthly inflows for the Peace River and upper Columbia River in Canada. A model is developed to model storage spaces for flood control and storage account operations to comply with the Columbia River Treaty (CRT) and subsequent agreements between Canada and the United States. Two novel algorithms are developed. The first uses SDDP and an updating process to generate the end of planning horizon water-value function, and the second uses SDDP to generate monthly water-value functions with a new stopping criterion for SDDP. Analysis results of the water-value functions illustrate the importance of globally optimizing reservoirs and storage accounts and modeling stochastic inflows. Results of simulation studies show significant benefits of using water-value functions over currently used methods and the need for modeling inflow uncertainties and storage account operations.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".