The ability of PAM50 risk of recurrence score to predict 10-year distant recurrence in hormone receptor-positive postmenopausal women with special histological subtypes
Bibliographic record
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: The Prosigna-PAM50 risk of recurrence (ROR) score has been validated in randomized clinical trials to predict 10-year distant recurrence (DR) in hormone receptor-positive breast cancer. Here, we examine the ability of Prosigna for predicting DR at 10 years in a subgroup of postmenopausal breast cancer patients with special histological subtypes. METHODS: Using the population based Danish Breast Cancer Group database, follow-up data were collected on all patients diagnosed from 2000 to 2003 with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) normal breast cancer who by nationwide guidelines were treated with 5 year of endocrine therapy (N = 2558). Among patients with 1 to 3 positive lymph nodes or a tumor size >20 mm, we identified 1570 with invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) and 89 with special histological subtypes (apocrine, medullary, mucinous, papillary, secretory, tubular, neuroendocrine) who were tested with Prosigna. Fine and Gray models were applied to determine the prognostic value of the Prosigna-PAM50 ROR score for DR special subtypes as compared to IDC. RESULTS: Median follow-up for DR was 9.2 year and for OS 15.2 year. The 10-year DR rate for the special subtypes was 9.2% (95% CI: 4.0% to 17.2%) as compared to 13.7% (95% CI: 11.9% to 15.7%) for IDC. The 10-year OS was 74.2% (95% CI: 63.7% to 82.0%) for the special subtypes and 75.4% (95% CI: 73.2% to 77.4%) for IDC. Prosigna showed a statistical significant association of the continuous ROR score with risk of DR for both IDC and the special subtypes (IDC: p < .0001; special subtypes: p = .01). CONCLUSION: In the present study, we demonstrated that Prosigna-PAM50 continuous ROR score added significant prognostic information for 10-year DR in postmenopausal patients with special subtypes (tumor size >20 mm or 1 to 3 positive lymph nodes) and ER-positive, HER2-normal early breast cancer.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".