Big-data-enabled modelling and optimization of granular speed-based vessel schedule recovery problem
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The Automatic Identification System (AIS) is a vessel tracking system that automatically provides updates on a vessel's movement and other relevant voyage data to vessel traffic management centres and operators. Aside from assisting in real-time tracking and monitoring marine traffic, this system is used in the analysis of historical navigation patterns. In this work, we mined and aggregated vessel speeds from AIS messages within geohashed regions at different precision levels. This granulated, real-world information was brought into the formulation of a Speed-based Vessel Schedule Recovery Problem (S-VSRP). The goal is to mitigate disruptions in vessel schedule by adjusting the speeds while also conforming to the historical navigation patterns reflected in the AIS data. We introduce a new model for vessel schedule speed recovery problem by formulating it as a multi-objective optimization (MOO) problem called the Big-Data-enabled Granular S-VSRP (G-S-VSRP) and propose meta-heuristic optimization methods to find Pareto-optimal solutions. The three objectives are: (1) minimizing the total delay between origin and destination ports, (2) minimizing total financial loss, and (3) maximizing the average speed compliance with historical speed limits. Three evolutionary multi-objective optimizers (EMOO) were investigated and utilized to approximate the Pareto-optimal solutions providing vessel voyage speeds. The Pareto front gives the ability to inspect the tradeoff among the three conflicting objectives. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time historical AIS data has been exploited in the published literature to mitigate disruptions in vessel schedules.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it