Managing extreme agriculture risks in Brazil
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The agricultural sector is strategic for Brazil's economy and society.Nevertheless, the fluctuation in national agriculture GDP, which reaches 1% per year on average, and can reach more than 3% in some cases, indicates the weakness of disaster risk management in the sector.This study identified that Brazil has some successful public policies and programs dedicated for disaster risk management in the agriculture sector that serve as reference for other developing countries.However, they are mainly focused on risk mitigation.Disaster risk response and transfer mechanisms for agriculture, especially insurance, are still underdeveloped in relation to other similar emerging economies such as Argentina and Mexico.Furthermore, this study points out to the importance of managing extreme agriculture risks in an integrated fashion, as there are clear interrelationships among the main risks facing the agriculture sector of Brazil.Finally, the results of this study also strongly suggest that there is a lack of integration of existing federal-level public policies and programs dedicated to agricultural disaster risk management in Brazil, which constraints the reduction of systemic losses at the national level.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".