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Global surveillance of trends in cancer survival 2000–14 (CONCORD-3): analysis of individual records for 37 513 025 patients diagnosed with one of 18 cancers from 322 population-based registries in 71 countries
Claudia Allemani, Tomohiro Matsuda, V Di Carlo, Rhea Harewood, M Matz, Maja Nikšić, Audrey Bonaventure, М. Yu. Valkov, Christopher J. Johnson, Jacques Estève, Olufemi J. Ogunbiyi, Gulnar Azevedo e Silva, Wanqing Chen, Sultan Eser, Gerda Engholm, Charles Stiller, Alain Monnereau, Ryan Woods, Otto Visser, Gek Hsiang Lim, Joanne F. Aitken, Hannah K. Weir, Michel P. Coleman, S. Bouzbid, M Hamdi-Chérif, Zoubida Zaidi, Kaouel Meguenni, D. Regagba, Siné Bayo, T Cheick Bougadari, S S Manraj, Karima Bendahhou, A. Fabowale, Debbie Bradshaw, Nontuthuzelo Somdyala, I. Kumcher, Florencia Moreno, G.H. Calabrano, S.B. Espinola, B Carballo Quintero, R Fita, M C Diumenjo, W.D. Laspada, S.G. Ibañez, Carlos Anselmo Lima, P.C.F. De Souza, C. Laporte, María Paula Curado, José Carlos de Oliveira, C.L.A. Veneziano, Donaldo Botelho Veneziano, M R D O Latorre, Luana Fiengo Tanaka, Marise Souto Rebelo, M O Santos, J.C. Galaz, M Aparicio Aravena, J Sanhueza Monsalve, D.A. Herrmann, S Torres Vargas, Víctor Herrera, Claudia Uribe, Luis Eduardo Bravo, Luz Stella García, Nelson Enrique Arias-Ortiz, D Morantes, Daniel Jurado, María Clara Yépez Chamorro, Sandra Delgado, Melissa Ramirez, Y H Galán Alvarez, Priscila Torres, F Martínez-Reyes, L. Jaramillo, R. Quinto, J Castillo, M Mendoza, Patricia Cueva, J.G. Yépez, Bernard Bhakkan, Jacqueline Deloumeaux, Clarisse Joachim, Jonathan Macni, R Carrillo, Rebeca Rivera-Gómez, Ebert Poquioma, Guillermo Tortolero‐Luna, Diego Zavala, R. Alonso, Enrique Barrios, Angela Eckstrand, C Nikiforuk, Glen Noonan, Donna Turner, Eshwar Kumar, B Zhang, F.R. McCrate, S. Ryan, M Macintyre, Nathalie Saint‐Jacques, D.E. Nishri, Carol McClure, K.A. Vriends, Serena Kozie, H. Stuart-Panko, T Freeman, J T George, J.T. Brockhouse, David K. O’Brien, A Holt, Lyn Almon, Sandy Kwong, Cyllene R. Morris, R Rycroft, Lloyd Mueller, Cathryn Phillips, Heather M. Brown, B Cromartie, Ann G. Schwartz, Fawn D. Vigneau, G M Levin, Brad Wohler, Rana Bayakly, Kevin C. Ward, Scarlett Lin Gomez, Meg McKinley, Rosemary D. Cress, M D Green, K Miyagi, Laura Ruppert, Charles F. Lynch, Bowen Huang, T. C. Tucker, Dennis Deapen, Lihua Liu, Mei‐Chin Hsieh, Xiao‐Cheng Wu, Molly Schwenn, S T Gershman, Richard Knowlton, Georgetta Alverson, G.E. Copeland, Sally Bushhouse, D B Rogers, J Jackson-Thompson, D Lemons, H J Zimmerman, Michelle M. Hood, J Roberts-Johnson, Judy R. Rees, Bruce L. Riddle, Karen Pawlish, Antoinette M. Stroup, Charles R. Key, Charles L. Wiggins, Amy R. Kahn, Maria J. Schymura, S Radhakrishnan, Chandrika Rao, L K Giljahn, R M Slocumb, R E Espinoza, Faiz Ali Khan, K G Aird, T Beran, J J Rubertone, S J Slack, Lucy García, Denis L. Rousseau, T A Janes, Stephen M. Schwartz, S.W. Bolick, Deborah Hurley, Martin Whiteside, Paige Miller-Gianturco, Melanie Williams, Kim Herget, Carol Sweeney, Alison Johnson, M B Keitheri Cheteri, Patti Migliore Santiago, S E Blankenship, S Farley, R.R. Borchers, R Malicki, J.R. Espinoza, Joseph Grandpre, Reda Wilson, B. K. Edwards, A Mariotto, Yutao Lei, Na Wang, Jen‐Shi Chen, Yan Zhou, Y T He, G H Song, Xiaoping Gu, Dan Mei, Huijuan Mu, H M Ge, T H Wu, Y Y Li, Di Zhao, J H Zhang, F D Zhu, Y L Yang, C X Jiang, Jia‐Bin Wang, Q L Li, H Yi, Xiangxiang Zhou, Jie Dong, W Li, F X Fu, S Z Liu, Jianguo Chen, Jian Zhu, Y H Li, Yuqiang Lu, Min Fan, Suqin Huang, Guo‐Ping Guo, Hua Zhao-lai, Kuangrong Wei, Huiming Zeng, A Demetriou, W.K. Mang, K.C. Ngan, A.C. Kataki, Manigreeva Krishnatreya, P A Jayalekshmi, P. Sebastian, A Nandakumar, Reza Malekzadeh, Gholamreza Roshandel, Lital Keinan-Boker, Barbara Silverman, Hidemi Ito, Hidenori Nakagawa, M Sato, F Tobori, I Nakata, N Teramoto, Masaya Hattori, Yasuharu Kaizaki, Fumitaka Moki, Hiromi Sugiyama, Mai Utada, M Nishimura, K Yoshida, K Kurosawa, Y Nemoto, Hiroto Narimatsu, Masahiko Sakaguchi, Seiki Kanemura, Michiko Naito, Rintaro Narisawa, Isao Miyashiro, Kayo Nakata, S Sato, Mami Yoshii, Izumi Oki, N Fukushima, Akiko Shibata, K Iwasa, C Ono, Omar Nimri, Kyu‐Won Jung, Young‐Joo Won, Eiman Alawadhi, A Elbasmi, Azizah Ab Manan, Farzaana Adam, E Sanjaajmats, Undarmaa Tudev, Chimedsuren Оchir, A M Al Khater, M.M. El Mistiri, Yik Ying Teo, Chun‐Ju Chiang, Wen‐Chung Lee, R Buasom, Suleeporn Sangrajrang, Supot Kamsa‐ard, Surapon Wiangnon, Karnchana Daoprasert, Donsuk Pongnikorn, Atit Leklob, S Sangkitipaiboon, Sarayut Lucien Geater, Hutcha Sriplung, O Ceylan, İskender Kög, Oya Dirican, T Köse, T Gurbuz, F E Karaşahin, D Turhan, U Aktaş, Y Halat, Cankut Yakut, M Altinisik, Y Cavusoglu, A Türkköylü, N Üçüncü, Monika Hackl, A. Zborovskaya, Olga Aleinikova, K. Henau, Liesbet Van Eycken, Z. Valerianova, Mariya Yordanova, Mario Šekerija, Ladislav Dušek, Miroslav Zvolský, Hans H. Storm, Kaire Innos, Margit Mägi, Nea Malila, Karri Seppä, Jérémie Jegu, Michel Velten, Édouard Cornet, X. Troussard, Anne‐Marie Bouvier, Anne‐Valérie Guizard, Véronique Bouvier, Guy Launoy, P. Arveux, Marc Maynadié, Morgane Mounier, Anne‐Sophie Woronoff, M. Daoulas, M. Robaszkiewicz, Jacqueline Clavel, Stéphanie Goujon, Brigitte Lacour, Isabelle Baldi, Camille Pouchieu, Brice Amadéo, Gaëlle Coureau, Sébastien Orazio, Pierre‐Marie Preux, Faı̈za Rharbaoui, Émilie Marrer, Brigitte Trétarre, Marc Colonna, Patricia Delafosse, Karine Ligier, Sandrine Plouvier, Anne Cowppli‐Bony, Florence Molinié, S. Bara, O. Ganry, B. Lapôtre‐Ledoux, Pascale Grosclaude, Nadine Bossard, Zoé Uhry, Freddie Bray, Marion Piñeros, Roland Stabenow, Heide Wilsdorf-Köhler, Andrea Eberle, Sabine Luttmann, I Löhden, Alice Nennecke, Joachim Kieschke, Eunice Sirri, Katharina Emrich, Sylke Ruth Zeißig, Bernd Holleczek, Nora Eisemann, Alexander Katalinic, R.A. Asquez, Vijay Kumar, Eleni Petridou, Laufey Tryggvadóttír, K.M. Clough-Gorr, Paul M. Walsh, H Sundseth, Guido Mazzoleni, Fabio Vittadello, Enzo Coviello, Francesco Cuccaro, Rocco Galasso, Giuseppe Sampietro, Adriano Giacomin, Michele Magoni, A Ardizzone, Angelo D’Argenzio, Marine Castaing, Giuseppe Grosso, Anna Maria Lavecchia, A. Sutera Sardo, G Gola, Luciana V. Gatti, P. Ricci, Stefano Ferretti, Diego Serraino, Antonella Zucchetto, M V Celesia, Rosa Angela Filiberti, Fabio Pannozzo, Anna Melcarne, F Quarta, Antonio Russo, Giuliano Carrozzi, Claudia Cirilli, Luca Cavalieri d’Oro, M Rognoni, Mario Fusco, Maria Francesca Vitale, M. Usala, Rosanna Cusimano, Walter Mazzucco, Maria Michiara, Paolo Sgargi, Lorenza Boschetti, Elisabetta Borciani, Pietro Seghini, Milena Maule, Franco Merletti, Rosario Tumino, Pamela Mancuso, Massimo Vicentini, Tiziana Cassetti, Romano Sassatelli, Fabio Falcini, Sabrina Giorgetti, Anna Luisa Caiazzo, Rossella Cavallo, R. Cesaraccio, D Pirino, M.L. Contrino, F. Tisano, Anna Clara Fanetti, S. Maspero, Simona Carone, Antonia Mincuzzi, Giuseppa Candela, T. Scuderi, Maria Gentilini, Silvano Piffer, Stefano Rosso, A Barchielli, Adele Caldarella, Fortunato Bianconi, Fabrizio Stracci, Paolo Contiero, Giovanna Tagliabue, Massimo Rugge, Manuel Zorzi, S Beggiato, A Brustolin, Franco Berrino, Gemma Gatta, Milena Sant, Carlotta Buzzoni, Lucìa Mangone, Riccardo Capocaccia, Roberta De Angelis, Roberto Zanetti, A Maurina, Santa Pildava, N. A. Lipunova, Ieva Vincerževskienė, D. Agius, Neville Calleja, Sabine Siesling, Siri Larønningen, Birgit Möller, Agnieszka Dyzmann-Sroka, Maciej Trojanowski, Stanisław Góźdż, Ryszard Mężyk, Tomasz Mierzwa, Łucja Molong, Jadwiga Rachtan, Sebastian Szewczyk, Jerzy Błaszczyk, Kamila Kępska, Beata Kościańska, K Tarocińska, M. Zwierko, Kazimierz Drosik, K M Maksimowicz, E Purwin-Porowska, E Reca, J Wójcik-Tomaszewska, Andrzej Tukiendorf, Monika Grądalska-Lampart, A.U. Radziszewska, Anna Gos, Małgorzata Talerczyk, M Wyborska, Joanna Didkowska, Urszula Wojciechowska, Magdalena Bielska‐Lasota, G. Forjaz de Lacerda, R.A. Rego, Joana Bastos, M A Silva, Luís Antunes, J Laranja Pontes, A. Mayer-da-Silva, A. Miranda, Mihaiela L. Blaga, Daniela Coza, L Gusenkova, O Lazarevich, O Prudnikova, D M Vjushkov, A.G. Egorova, А Е Орлов, L A Kudyakov, L. V. Pikalova, J Adamcik, C. Safaei Diba, Maja Primic‐Žakelj, Vesna Zadnik, Nerea Larrañaga, A A Herrera, R Redondas, Rafael Marcos‐Gragera, M.L. Vilardell Gil, P. Franch Sureda, M. Ramos Montserrat, M.D. Chirlaque, Carmen Navarro, Eva Ardanáz, Marcela Guevara, Rafael Fernández‐Delgado, Rafael Peris‐Bonet, Marià Carulla, Jaume Galcerán, Carmen Alberich, M. Vicente-Raneda, S. Khan, David Pettersson, Paul W. Dickman, I Avelina, Katharina Staehelin, Bertrand Camey, Christine Bouchardy, Robin Schaffar, Henry Clay Frick, C. Herrmann, Jean‐Luc Bulliard, M. Maspoli-Conconi, Claudia E. Kuehni, S M Redmond, Andrea Bordoni, Laura Ortelli, Arnaud Chioléro, Isabelle Konzelmann, Katarina L. Matthes, Sabine Rohrmann, John Broggio, Jem Rashbass, Deirdre Fitzpatrick, Anna Gavin, Donna Clark, A J Deas, D W Huws, Peter D. White, Lisa Montel, Bernard Rachet, Adrian Turculet, Richard Stephens, Elizabeth Chalker, Hai Phung, Richard Walton, Hui You, Steven Guthridge, Patrick Gordon, Katina D’Onise, K. Priest, B.C. Stokes, Alison Venn, Helen Farrugia, Vicky Thursfield, J. Dowling, David C. Currow, James A. Hendrix, Christopher Lewis
Bibliographic record
VenueThe Lancet · 2018
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicGlobal Cancer Incidence and Screening
Canadian institutionsBC Cancer Agency
FundersNational Cancer InstituteSwiss ReCenters for Disease Control and PreventionRégion NormandieHospices Civils de LyonNational Institutes of HealthRegione LiguriaCancer Research UKInstitut National Du CancerSwiss Cancer Research FoundationLigue Contre le CancerCHILDREN with CANCER UK
KeywordsMedicineCancer registryCancerPopulationRelative survivalOncologyDemographyInternal medicineEnvironmental health
Abstract
No abstract in any covered source. Its absence is recorded, not treated as a negative.
No abstract. This is not a gap in this database; OpenAlex has none either. 23.3% of the frame is in this state, and the screen finds HALF as much metaresearch here, so the absence is a measured bias rather than a missing field.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.180
Threshold uncertainty score0.358
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.013 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
Opus teacher head0.098
GPT teacher head0.364
Teacher spread0.266 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation status
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".
Quick stats
Citations6,161
Published2018
Admission routes1
Has abstractno