Adaptive Probability Thresholding in Automated Ice and Open Water Detection From RADARSAT-2 Images
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this letter, we introduce adaptive probability thresholding in addition to our previously developed technique for automated detection of ice and open water from RADARSAT-2 ScanSAR dual-polarization HH–HV images. Situations where the probability threshold needs to be modified were identified based on the analysis of misclassified ice and water samples when the static probability threshold of 0.95 is applied. We found that with the use of the proposed approach, the fraction of misclassified ice samples decreased from 0.98% to 0.24% and the fraction of misclassified water samples decreased from 0.35% to 0.09% in the most clean verification scenario against Canadian Ice Service Image Analysis pure ice and water data, while the fraction of correctly classified ice and water samples did not decrease appreciably, from 72.2% to 65.4%. The developed approach will be implemented as a part of the data assimilation component of the operational Environment and Climate Change Canada Regional Ice-Ocean Prediction System.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it