The Use of a Nomogram to Visually Interpret a Logistic Regression Prediction Model for Giant Cell Arteritis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To illustrate the utility of a nomogram for the prediction of giant cell arteritis (GCA). METHOD: A nomogram was constructed from a multivariable logistic regression prediction model with 10 covariates: age, sex, clinical temporal artery abnormality, new-onset headache, jaw claudication, vision loss, diplopia, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-reactive protein, and platelet level. RESULTS: The magnitude and location of the nomogram scale for each predictor variable graphically illustrates the net effect of each covariate and is especially useful for continuous variables such as age and bloodwork values. CONCLUSIONS: values, and confidence intervals of logistic regression prediction models. Although nomograms and prediction rules cannot substitute for clinical judgment, they help objectify and optimize the individualized risk assessments for patients with suspected GCA.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.014 | 0.085 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.005 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".