Predictive value of early magnetic resonance imaging measures is differentially affected by the dose of interferon beta-1a given subcutaneously three times a week: an exploratory analysis of the PRISMS study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: On-treatment magnetic resonance imaging lesions may predict long-term clinical outcomes in patients receiving interferon β-1a. This study aimed to assess the effect of active T2 and T1 gadolinium-enhancing (Gd+) lesions on relapses and 3-month confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) progression in the PRISMS clinical trial. METHODS: Exploratory analyses assessed whether active T2 and T1 Gd + lesions at Month 6, or active T2 lesions at Month 12, predicted clinical outcomes over 4 years in PRISMS. RESULTS: Mean active T2 lesion number at Month 6 was significantly lower with interferon beta-1a given subcutaneously (IFN β-1a SC) 44 μg and 22 μg 3×/week (tiw) than with placebo (p < 0.0001). The presence of ≥4 versus 0 active T2 lesions predicted disability progression at Years 3-4 in the IFN β-1a SC 22 μg group only (p < 0.05), whereas the presence of ≥2 versus 0-1 active T2 lesions predicted disability progression in the placebo/delayed treatment (DTx) (Years 2-4; p < 0.05) and IFN β-1a SC 22 μg groups (Years 3-4; p < 0.05). Greater active T2 lesion number at 6 months predicted relapses in the placebo/DTx group only (≥4 vs. 0, Years 1-4; ≥2 vs. 0-1, Years 2-4; p < 0.05), and the presence of T1 Gd + lesions at 6 months predicted disability progression in the IFN β-1a SC 44 μg group only (Year 1; p < 0.05). The presence of ≥2 versus 0-1 active T2 lesions at 12 months predicted disability progression over 3 and 4 years in the IFN β-1a SC 44 μg group. CONCLUSION: Active T2 lesions at 6 months predicted clinical outcomes in patients receiving placebo or IFN β-1a SC 22 μg, but not in those receiving IFN β-1a SC 44 μg. Active T2 lesions at 12 months may predict outcomes in those receiving IFN β-1a SC 44 μg and are possibly more suggestive of poor response to therapy than T2 results at 6 months.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".