A Non-Linear Model for Censored and Mismeasured Time Varying Covariates in Survival Models, with Applications in Human Immunodeficiency Virus and Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Studies
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Summary In survival regression analysis, when the time-dependent covariates are censored and measured with errors, a joint model is often considered for the longitudinal covariate data and the survival data. Typically, an empirical linear (mixed) model is assumed for the time-dependent covariates. However, such an empirical linear covariate model may be inappropriate for the (unobserved) censored covariate values that may behave quite differently from the observed covariate process. In applications such as human immunodeficiency virus–acquired immune deficiency syndrome studies, a mechanistic non-linear model can be derived for the covariate process on the basis of the underlying data generation mechanisms and such a non-linear covariate model may provide better ‘predictions’ for the censored and mismeasured covariate values. We propose a joint Cox and non-linear mixed effect model to model survival data with censored and mismeasured time varying covariates. We use likelihood methods for inference, implemented by the Monte Carlo EM algorithm. The models and methods are evaluated by simulations. An acquired immune deficiency syndrome data set is analysed in detail, where the time-dependent covariate is a viral load which may be censored because of a lower detection limit and may also be measured with errors. The results based on linear and non-linear covariate models are compared and new insights are gained.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.030 | 0.066 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".