An alternative hypothesis explains outbreaks of conifer‐feeding budworms of the genus <i>Choristoneura</i> (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae) in Canada
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract This alternative hypothesis states that forests attacked by spruce budworms are, for most of the time, nutritional deserts. During these periods, endemic populations persist in scattered “refuges” on a few stressed trees, but this situation changes once trees in a forest become over‐mature and start to senesce. Senescence causes protein in their mature needles to break down at an accelerating rate, releasing higher levels of soluble amino acids into the phloem thereby increasing the quality of food for larval budworms. Additional stress such as drought that damages or kills the trees’ feeding roots accelerates this process and further elevates the quality of the food for larvae. All the foliage in the forest then become nutritious enough to support high numbers of budworm larvae so that nearly all the young larvae of moths dispersing from refuges into the surrounding newly stressed trees survive and an outbreak ensues.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it