Non‐invasive staging of chronic kidney allograft damage using urine metabolomic profiling
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Chronic kidney allograft damage is characterized by IFTA and GS. We sought to identify urinary metabolite signatures associated with severity of IFTA and GS in pediatric kidney transplant recipients. Urine samples (n = 396) from 60 pediatric transplant recipients were obtained at the time of kidney biopsy and assayed for 133 metabolites by mass spectrometry. Metabolite profiles were quantified via PLS-DA. We used mixed-effects regression to identify laboratory and clinical predictors of histopathology. Urine samples (n = 174) without rejection or AKI were divided into training/validation sets (75:25%). Metabolite classifiers trained on IFTA severity and %GS showed strong statistical correlation (r = .73, P < .001 and r = .72; P < .001, respectively) and remained significant on the validation sets. Regression analysis identified additional clinical features that improved prediction: months post-transplant (GS, IFTA); and proteinuria, GFR, and age (GS only). Addition of clinical variables improved performance of the %GS classifier (AUC = 0.9; 95% CI = 0.85-0.96) but not for IFTA (AUC = 0.82; 95% CI = 0.71-0.92). Despite the presence of potentially confounding phenotypes, these findings were further validated in samples withheld for rejection or AKI. We identify urine metabolite classifiers for IFTA and GS, which may prove useful for non-invasive assessment of histopathological damage.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".