Mortality Risk Using a Pediatric Quick Sequential (Sepsis-Related) Organ Failure Assessment Varies With Vital Sign Thresholds*
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: We evaluated adapting the quick Sequential (Sepsis-Related) Organ Failure Assessment score (fast respiratory rate, altered mental status, low blood pressure) for pediatric use by selecting thresholds from three commonly used definitions: Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction 2, Pediatric Advanced Life Support, and International Pediatric Sepsis Consensus Conference. We examined their respective performance in identifying children who had a discharge diagnosis of infection at high risk of mortality using PICU registry data, with additional focus on the influence of age on performance. DESIGN: Analysis of retrospective data obtained from the Virtual Pediatric Systems PICU database. The performance in predicting observed mortality was assessed for the three candidate approaches using receiver operating characteristics analysis, including age group effects. SETTING: The Virtual Pediatric Systems database contains data on diagnosis, clinical markers, and outcomes in prospectively collected clinical records from 130 participating PICUs in the United States and Canada. PATIENTS: Children who had a discharge diagnosis of infection in a participating PICU between 2009 and 2014, for which all required data were available. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Data from 40,228 children revealed an overall mortality of 4.22%. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (95% CI) was 0.760 (0.749-0.771) for Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction 2 with mechanical ventilation, 0.700 (0.689-0.712) for Pediatric Advanced Life Support, and 0.709 (0.696-0.721) for International Pediatric Sepsis Consensus Conference. When split by age group, the performance of Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction 2 with mechanical ventilation was lowest in the youngest neonates (under 1 wk old), with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (95% CI) of 0.724 (0.656-0.791), and in the teenagers (13-18 yr), with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.710 (0.682-0.738), yet it still outperformed Pediatric Advanced Life Support and International Pediatric Sepsis Consensus Conference in both groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among critically ill children who had a discharge diagnosis of infection in the PICU, quick Sequential (Sepsis-Related) Organ Failure Assessment score performs best when using the Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction 2 age thresholds with mechanical ventilation, while all definitions performed worse at extremes of pediatric age. Thus, mortality risk varies with vital sign thresholds, and although Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction 2 with mechanical ventilation performed marginally better, it is unlikely to be of use to clinicians. More work is needed to develop a robust and relevant pediatric sepsis risk score.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.025 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".