Geomechanical Sensitivities of Injection‐Induced Earthquakes
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Wastewater reinjection increases pore fluid pressure and can make faults frictionally unstable, triggering earthquakes. Little is known, however, about how regional geomechanical properties influence the likelihood that disposal will induce seismicity. We investigate the impact of preinjection conditions on the proportion of possible fault orientations destabilized by a specified pore pressure increase. Stress state is the most important factor, with 7 times as many planes unstable in extension than contraction—indeed, normal or strike‐slip faulting environments characterize most injection‐induced seismicity—and additional fivefold increases in transitional stress states. Geomechanical susceptibility depends inversely on overburden density and depth, consistent with the shallow hypocenters of most induced events. The coefficient of friction and initial pore pressure have little impact: Faults initially below hydrostatic pressure can slip during gravity‐fed injection. Combining these factors, site‐specific geomechanical analyses could determine 300‐fold variations in the likelihood of induced seismicity before disposal, offering a proactive way to manage hazard.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".