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Record W287901788

Is Brazil's Economy Coming Back to Life?

2002· article· en· W287901788 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Diane M. Sweetwood

Bibliographic record

VenueMultinational Business Review · 2002
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicEconomic Theory and Policy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsBalance of paymentsEconomicsInflation (cosmology)EconomyDebtFinancial crisisInterest rateDevelopment economicsInternational economicsFinance
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

For the past three decades, Brazil has been pummeled with financial difficulty. Brazil's economy experienced Incredible inflation rates up to 3000%, causing the nation to fan Into enormous foreign debt This manuscript examines the causes of the Brazilian financial crisis, including the monetization of the public sector's fiscal deficit, and both fiscal and Balance of Payment weaknesses. The Real Plan Is illustrated as the successful stabilization program to end inflation, along with the intervention of the IMF. These attempts have enabled Brazil to set up policies to control Inflation, thus encouraging employment and economic growth. Ultimately, these policies are making Brazil's financial future a path of recovery rather than a continued path of destruction. Brazil, a third world country, is the world's fifth largest nation in physical size, and has the ninth largest economy. It seems more like a continent than a country and occupies nearly half the land mass of South America. It is known for being the world's largest tropical country, being the only Portuguese-Speaking Latin American country, one of the world's largest exporters of agricultural products, and also for its incredibly high interest rates. Surprisingly, Brazil has experienced one of the highest growth rates among capitalist economies in the 1900's, particularly between the early 1950's through the mid 1990's, despite a crisis that lasted most of the 1980's and early 90's. The yearly GDP growth rates have averaged 7.15% in the fifties, 6.12% in the sixties, 8.84% in the seventies, 2.93% in the eighties, and 1.6% from 1990-1995. In comparison, the United States has averaged a 3% growth rate from 1960-1992. (Randall, 1999). The main cause for this incredible growth was industry and prevailing technology. Most of the industrial growth occurred in the area of transport equipment, pharmaceuticals, tobacco, printing and publishing, chemicals, beverages and rubber. The yearly average growth rate for the industrial sector over the past 40 years is 8.5%. The automobile industry was also a significant contributor to the nation's growth. This occurred primarily during the chaos of inflation and was aided by tax breaks, ending of banned imports, and the re-launching of the Volkswagen Beetle. Brazil's automobile industry overtook Italy and Mexico in 1993 to become the tenth largest producer of cars in the world. (Library of Congress, 1997). Brazil's major trading partners are the United States, Germany, Switzerland, Japan, the United Kingdom, France, Argentina, Mexico, and Canada. Despite its vast resources, uncharacteristic growth and technological advancements, Brazil's economy still struggles. It entered a recession in 1989 and experienced exponential inflation rates that grew as high as 3000%. With so many positives on its side, how did Brazil's economy sink so low? The following sections will discuss the causes of Brazil's incredible financial crisis, the policies that helped to stabilize the economy, the current financial situation in Brazil, and its link to the United States. CAUSES Inflation In the 1980's, Brazilians were convinced that the enormous foreign debt was at the heart of their economic difficulties. However, ten years later other nations who were in the same debt position managed to reduce inflation to manageable levels and to grow again. Brazil did not, and thus it became obvious that some of Brazil's economic issues were internal. The root of Brazil's inflation problem is the monetization of the public sector's fiscal deficit. When debts are not financed by borrowing either from abroad or domestically, they must be covered by the creation of money. This caused a huge surge in the inflation rate between 1977-1994. It is important for non-Brazilians to grasp the significance of double-digit inflation for forty years, with triple and even quadruple inflation in the 1980s. By the late 1980s, annual rates of inflation were almost meaningless, and Brazilians characterized inflation by its monthly rate, which in the early 1990s was over 35 percent. …

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.818
Threshold uncertainty score0.964

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0370.056

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.075
GPT teacher head0.280
Teacher spread0.205 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2002
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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