HIV in Canada: 2009 to 2014
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Between 1996 and 2008, the number of newly reported HIV cases in Canada fluctuated between approximately 2,100 and 2,700 cases per year. OBJECTIVE: To describe the recent trends in new diagnoses of HIV in Canada between 2009 and 2014 by age group, sex, exposure category, race/ethnicity, and region, as well as the number of perinatally HIV-exposed infants. METHODS: HIV data were compiled from two databases. The National HIV/AIDS Surveillance System is a passive surveillance system that gathers non-nominal data on a voluntary basis from all the provinces and territories of all cases that meet the national case definition, and includes data on age group, sex, race/ethnicity, country of birth, and exposure categories. The Canadian Perinatal HIV Surveillance Program is a sentinel-based surveillance system; non-nominal data is obtained through a national confidential survey completed by participating physicians. RESULTS: Since 2009 the number of new HIV cases has slowly but steadily declined from 2,391 cases in 2009 to 2,044 in 2014, which is the lowest number of annual HIV cases seen in the last two decades. The largest proportion (32%) of new HIV cases continues to be diagnosed among those 30 to 39 years of age, but the proportion of cases diagnosed among those 50 years of age or over has increased from 15% in 2009 to slightly over 20% in 2014. Approximately 75% of newly diagnosed cases are males and 25% females. In males, the most common exposure category (60%) was men who have sex with men. In females, the most common exposure category (66%) was heterosexual contact followed by injection drug use (27%). Race/ethnicity varied by sex. In males, over 50% were White, 14% were Aboriginal and 13% Black. In females, 35% were Black, 35% were Aboriginal and 22% were White. There were regional variations in HIV rates across Canada. Between 2009 and 2014, the number of perinatally HIV-exposed infants varied between 200 and 249 but the percentage of perinatal treatment increased from 87% in 2009 to 97% in 2014. CONCLUSION: The annual number of reported HIV cases in Canada has been declining in recent years. The proportion of HIV-positive mothers receiving treatment has increased and the number of confirmed HIV-infected infants has decreased.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.010 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.004 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.008 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".