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Record W2884156591

The Economy in Perspective

2006· article· en· W2884156591 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Mark S. Sniderman

Bibliographic record

VenueEconomic Trends · 2006
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicEconomic Theory and Policy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEconomicsQuarter (Canadian coin)Inflation (cosmology)Monetary policyUnemploymentReal gross domestic productCore inflationUnemployment rateInflation rateReal interest rateInterest rateTarget rangeInflation targetingMonetary economicsKeynesian economicsMacroeconomicsGeography
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In the Monetary Policy Report the Federal Reserve submitted to Congress in February 2005, the FOMC projected that real GDP would increase at a rate of about 3 1/2 percent, inflation as measured by the core PCE would increase at a rate of roughly 1 1/2 to 1 3/4 percent, and the unemployment rate would register between 5 and 5 1/4 percent in the fourth quarter of this year. When the FOMC updated its 2006 projections in July 2005, it shaded down its judgment for real output to the range of 3 1/4 to 3 1/2 percent, edged up its estimate for core inflation into a range of 1 3/4 to 2 percent, and put the fourth quarter unemployment rate at 5 percent. The FOMC last revised its 2006 projections in the Monetary Policy Report of February 15, 2006. In this most recent view, the Committee widened its central tendency range for real GDP at the low end to 3 to 3 1/2 percent, kept its estimate of core PCE inflation at 1 3/4 to 2 percent, and lowered its range for the unemployment rate even further to 4 3/4 to 5 percent.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.808
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.004

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.221
Teacher spread0.209 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2006
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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