Mobilization of old terrestrial carbon caused by permafrost thawing, sea-level rise and ice-sheet melting during the last deglaciation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The last deglaciation was characterized by rising concentrations in atmospheric CO2 (CO2atm) and a decrease in its radiocarbon content (∆14Catm). Mobilization of 14C-depleted terrestrial organic carbon, which was previously frozen in extensive boreal permafrost soils, might have contributed to both changes. Since parts of this potentially mobilized organic carbon was reburied in marine sediments, records of accumulation of terrigenous biomarkers and their compound-specific radiocarbon ages can provide insights into the timing of, and controls on permafrost decomposition. We present data from marine sediment cores covering the last deglaciation that were retrieved from key locations potentially receiving terrigenous material mobilized from hotspot areas of permafrost thaw. In the North Pacific, we studied two cores off the Amur River draining into the Okhotsk Sea, and one core from the Northeastern Bering Sea adjacent to the Bering shelf (one of the largest shelf areas flooded during the deglaciation), which receives input from the Yukon River. During the Last Glacial Maximum these catchments were completely covered with permafrost. Today, the Amur drainage basin is free of permafrost while the Yukon catchment is covered by discontinuous permafrost. Besides, we investigated one core from the northwestern Black Sea as a record of terrigenous material released from the thawing European tundra. All sites show distinct deglacial maxima in accumulation of old terrigenous biomarkers (5-20 kyr old at the time of deposition). In the Black Sea, one early maximum of terrigenous organic matter accumulation occurred during HS1. In the North Pacific region, two more pronounced maxima occurred later during meltwater pulses suggesting that sea-level rise remobilized old terrestrial carbon from permafrost on the flooded shelfs. Sea-level rise thus likely caused abrupt decomposition events across the Okhotsk and Bering Shelfs. We extrapolate our localized findings to an overall potential carbon release during deglaciation of 285 Pg C from coastal erosion in the Arctic Ocean and the related permafrost decomposition. By analysing some idealized scenarios using the global carbon cycle model BICYCLE we estimate the impact of carbon release from thawing permafrost on the atmosphere. We find that it might have accounted for a deglacial rise in CO2atm of up to 15 ppm, and to a decline in ∆14Catm of 15 T ̇hese results, if restricted to the three peak events as supported by our data, might have contributed particularly to abrupt changes in CO2atm and ∆14Catm, corresponding to 15-20% of both, the observed rise in CO2atm of ∼90 ppm, and the residual in ∆14Catm that is unexplained by changes in the 14C production rate.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".