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Record W2885408138

Trade and the Dollar

2007· article· en· W2885408138 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Owen F. Humpage, Michael Shenk

Bibliographic record

VenueEconomic Trends · 2007
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGlobal Financial Crisis and Policies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLiberian dollarDepreciation (economics)PaceEconomicsUs dollarQuarter (Canadian coin)International economicsForeign direct investmentBalance of tradeExchange rateInternational tradeMonetary economicsCapital formationGeographyEconomic growthFinanceMacroeconomicsHuman capital
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Our trade deficit is narrowing, with exports growing at four times the pace of imports. In September 2007, the U.S. deficit in goods and services trade was $677.4 billion (annual rate), down substantially from its recent peak of $811.3 billion in August 2006. In the third quarter of 2007, strong exports contributed nearly 2 percentage points to real economic growth, a welcome offset to weak residential investment. Strong export growth is likely to continue through next year because of strong growth abroad and the dollar’s depreciation.A key factor contributing to lower U.S. trade deficits is phenomenally strong economic growth abroad relative to that in the United States. The slower pace of U.S. growth this year has trimmed import demand. Series Title: Economic Trends Title: Trade and the Dollar Date: December 7, 2007 Publication: Author(s):Owen Humpage Michael Shenk Type: Economic Trends Topics(s): International Markets and Foreign Exchange

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.942
Threshold uncertainty score0.435

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.223
Teacher spread0.206 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2007
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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