Impact Of Medicaid Expansion On Coverage And Treatment Of Low-Income Adults With Substance Use Disorders
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Extensive undertreatment of substance use disorders has focused attention on whether the expansion of eligibility for Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) has promoted increased coverage and treatment of these disorders. We assessed changes in coverage and substance use disorder treatment among low-income adults with the disorders following the 2014 ACA Medicaid expansion, using data for 2008-15 from the National Survey on Drug Use and Health. The percentage of low-income expansion state residents with substance use disorders who were uninsured decreased from 34.4 percent in 2012-13 to 20.4 percent in 2014-15, while the corresponding decrease among residents of nonexpansion states was from 45.2 percent to 38.6 percent. However, there was no corresponding increase in overall substance use disorder treatment in either expansion or nonexpansion states. The differential increase in insurance coverage suggests that Medicaid expansion contributed to insurance gains, but corresponding treatment gains were not observed. Increasing treatment may require the integration of substance use disorder treatment with other medical services and clinical interventions to motivate people to engage in treatment.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".