Economia do Insumo-Produto: uma análise de impacto dos investimentos anunciados para o Espírito Santo entre 2011-2016
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
O objetivo é mensurar os impactos econômicos dos investimentos anunciados para o Espírito Santo entre 2011 e 2016 com base na MIP. Será apresentado um panorama da economia capixaba para contextualizar o cenário no qual ocorrerão os investimentos, bem como exposto o modelo de insumo-produto. Poderá verificar-se que caso todos os investimentos aconteçam, o impacto na economia capixaba será significativo, com setores apresentando crescimento pouco provável baseado na sua importância para o estado. Existem indícios de que os investimentos estejam superestimados em virtude do volume divulgado e da incerteza da efetividade da realização em sua integralidade no prazo de cinco anos.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.053 | 0.093 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it