MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W2885875193

Global Developments in the Economic Outlook

2008· article· en· W2885875193 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Owen F. Humpage, Michael Shenk

Bibliographic record

VenueEconomic Trends · 2008
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGlobal Financial Crisis and Policies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEconomicsDepreciation (economics)Real gross domestic productLiberian dollarUs dollarQuarter (Canadian coin)RecessionGross domestic productInternational economicsGDP deflatorGlobalizationGlobal recessionBalance of tradeMonetary economicsInternational tradeExchange rateMacroeconomicsCapital formationGeographyEconomic growthHuman capitalMarket economy
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Sometimes globalization giveth, but sometimes it taketh away. The dollar’s recent depreciation and exceptionally strong economic growth abroad have been a boon to U.S. economic growth, but that may now be changing. Preliminary estimates showed a surprisingly strong, 3.3 percent increase in GDP during the second quarter of 2008, with almost all of this increase attributable to a combined rise in U.S. exports and decline in imports. Real gross domestic purchases—spending less exports—continued to be very weak in the second quarter, so much so that their recent performance resembles that during the 2001 recession. U.S. exports have increased substantially faster than GDP since mid-2003 and have, therefore, been a significant, sustained source of growth. While imports are now a higher percentage of GDP than in 2003, they have flattened out over the past three years. Consequently, our trade deficit has narrowed substantially.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.488
Threshold uncertainty score0.996

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.005

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.033
GPT teacher head0.240
Teacher spread0.206 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2008
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueEconomic TrendsSame topicGlobal Financial Crisis and PoliciesFrench-language works237,207