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Record W2886973792

An Immoderate Inventory Cycle

2010· article· en· W2886973792 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Kenneth Beauchemin

Bibliographic record

VenueEconomic Trends · 2010
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicEconomic Theory and Policy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsQuarter (Canadian coin)Investment (military)PaceEconomicsInventory investmentReal gross domestic productConsumption (sociology)Gross domestic productProduct (mathematics)Government (linguistics)Gross private domestic investmentPrivate consumptionEconometricsBusinessProduction (economics)Monetary economicsReturn on investmentMacroeconomicsMathematicsGeography
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The final estimate of fourth-quarter real GDP growth registered 5.6 percent, but was revised down from the second estimate of 5.9 percent. It was, nevertheless, substantially higher than the 2.2 percent pace recorded in the third quarter. To better understand the apparent strength in fourth quarter activity, it is instructive to split GDP into two basic components: final sales of gross domestic product and the change in private inventories. Because GDP measures the flow of output produced during a given quarter, the portion of product unsold at the close of the quarter is counted as an investment in inventories. Final sales represent everything else and include all of the familiar expenditure components (consumption, investment, net exports, and government purchases) and their subcomponents.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.005
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.027
Threshold uncertainty score0.091

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.005
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.004
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0050.003
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0270.012

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.240
Teacher spread0.222 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2010
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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