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Record W2887013533

Revisions to Real GDP

2006· article· en· W2887013533 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
David Altig, Brent Meyer

Bibliographic record

VenueEconomic Trends · 2006
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicEconomic Theory and Policy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGross domestic productReal gross domestic productQuarter (Canadian coin)Investment (military)EconomicsEconometricsMacroeconomicsHistoryPolitical scienceLawArchaeology
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

There will be another revision in July 2007—as there is every year— but until then the final word from the Bureau of Economic Analysis is that real Gross Domestic Product grew at an annualized rate of just under 2 percent in the third quarter. This is slightly below the preliminary estimate issued in November, but still above the growth rate estimate in October’s advance report. There is both unpleasant and (maybe) not-so-unpleasant news buried in the details of the latest revision. The single largest reason for the decline in the growth estimate from the preliminary report was a downgrading of private investment spending.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.011
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.101
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.036
Threshold uncertainty score0.116

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0110.101
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.002
Bibliometrics0.0080.007
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0060.004
Open science0.0040.003
Research integrity0.0030.010
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0350.039

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.242
Teacher spread0.221 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2006
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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