Mining Port Congestion Indicators from Big AIS Data
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this paper, we introduce three maritime Port Congestion Indicators (PCIs) mined using Automatic Identification System (AIS) static and dynamic messages. The proposed indicators are spatial complexity, spatial density, and time criticality. To calculate the PCIs, we proposed three Big AIS Data mining algorithms to find the geohash area for certain precision, the convex hull area, and the average vessels proximity within the Port Area of Interest (AOI) and in the Period of Interest (POI). The indicators are calculated for the year of 2015 for three ports (Halifax, Hong Kong, and Singapore). The proposed PCIs capture the spatial complexity, spatial density, and time of service criticality. These indicators can be used by port authorities and other maritime stakeholders to alert for congestion levels that can be correlated to weather, high demand, or a sudden collapse in capacity due to strike, sabotage, or other disruptive events. We clustered the indicators for each port into three colour-coded (Green, Yellow, and Red) clusters corresponding to low, medium and high congestion levels. The centroids of these clusters can be used to predict future congestion levels of the port under consideration. To the best of our knowledge in published literature, this work is the first to introduce the application of AIS Big Data analytics to evaluate maritime port congestion levels.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it