Locally Private Mean Estimation: Z-test and Tight Confidence Intervals
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This work provides tight upper- and lower-bounds for the problem of mean estimation under $ε$-differential privacy in the local model, when the input is composed of $n$ i.i.d. drawn samples from a normal distribution with variance $σ$. Our algorithms result in a $(1-β)$-confidence interval for the underlying distribution's mean $μ$ of length $\tilde O\left( \frac{σ\sqrt{\log(\frac 1 β)}}{ε\sqrt n} \right)$. In addition, our algorithms leverage binary search using local differential privacy for quantile estimation, a result which may be of separate interest. Moreover, we prove a matching lower-bound (up to poly-log factors), showing that any one-shot (each individual is presented with a single query) local differentially private algorithm must return an interval of length $Ω\left( \frac{σ\sqrt{\log(1/β)}}{ε\sqrt{n}}\right)$.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.011 | 0.028 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".