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Record W2898725715 · doi:10.4043/29167-ms

Probabilistic Approach to Determine Combined Sea Ice and Wave Actions

2018· article· en· W2898725715 on OpenAlexaffabout
Mark Fuglem, Jan Thijssen, Paul Stuckey, Somchat Suwan, Qianran Zhang

Bibliographic record

VenueOTC Arctic Technology Conference · 2018
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicStructural Integrity and Reliability Analysis
Canadian institutionsCentre For Cold Ocean Resources Engineering
Fundersnot available
KeywordsProbabilistic logicJoint probability distributionArcticSea iceRange (aeronautics)Computer scienceExtreme value theoryWind waveProbability distributionMeteorologyJoint (building)Environmental scienceClimatologyGeologyStatisticsMathematicsEngineeringGeographyOceanographyArtificial intelligence

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Design of offshore structures for arctic and subarctic regions requires consideration of wave, wind and ice actions. If individual actions are not mutually exclusive, then combined actions also need consideration. ISO 19906 recommends that, when possible, extreme level combined actions should be determined based on the joint probability distribution of the actions. As an alternative, ISO 19906 provides a framework where a user can determine principal and companion extreme actions independently, and sum these with calibrated combination factors applied. While the combination factors in ISO 19906 were calibrated over a range of conditions and platforms, site-specific information is not taken into account when applying the method. In this paper, a procedure is presented for determining extreme level combined actions for sea ice and waves based on site-specific sea ice and wave information, accounting for the joint probability distribution of the actions. The procedure is demonstrated for an example fixed structure on the Grand Banks off Canada's east coast. The results are compared with extreme actions determined using the ISO 19906 combination factors.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.007
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.006
Threshold uncertainty score0.012

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.007
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.034
GPT teacher head0.237
Teacher spread0.204 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2018
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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