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Conditional Autoregressive (<scp>CAR</scp>) Model

2018· other· en· W2899797857 on OpenAlexaff
Alexandra M. Schmidt, Widemberg S. Nobre

Bibliographic record

VenueWiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online · 2018
Typeother
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicSoil Geostatistics and Mapping
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
FundersUniversidade Federal do Rio de JaneiroConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
KeywordsAutoregressive modelConditional probability distributionConditional varianceUnivariateMarkov chainJoint probability distributionAutoregressive integrated moving averageEconometricsMultivariate normal distributionMathematicsMixture modelComputer scienceMultivariate statisticsStatisticsTime seriesAutoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Conditional autoregressive (CAR) models are useful to obtain a multivariate joint distributions of a random vector based on univariate conditional specifications. These conditional specifications are based on Markovian properties such that the conditional distribution of a component of the random vector depends only on a set of neighbors. Conditional autoregressive models are particular cases of Markov random fields. CAR models have been applied in different areas of science; some examples are image analysis, epidemiology, and agriculture. Typically, Gaussian CAR specifications are used as latent structures in hierarchical models for areal level data. In this case, the region of interest is divided into a set of disjoint areas and a CAR random effect is used to account for possible correlation among observations made across the different areas.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.010
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.044
Threshold uncertainty score0.087

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.010
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.002
Bibliometrics0.0020.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.002
Open science0.0030.001
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0220.005

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.029
GPT teacher head0.286
Teacher spread0.257 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations10
Published2018
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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