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Record W2900088252

Kaliningrad and the Baltic Countries - A Russian Threat to NATO?

2018· article· en· W2900088252 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Jeff Gilmour

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of military and strategic studies · 2018
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicCross-Border Cooperation and Integration
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPolitical scienceDevelopment economicsGeographyEconomics
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Introduction -The Kaliningrad Oblast AreaIn 2008, Russia illegally invaded the Republic of Georgia and still retains troops in South Ossetia.In 2014, Russia invaded the Crimean Peninsula of the Ukraine in order to ensure there was a corridor with Sevastopol, the home of its' Black Sea Fleet. 1 Given Russia's demonstrated proclivity for unilateral intervention, Baltic states and NATO members Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia 2 remain understandably concerned regarding the recent build-up of Russian military forces along their Eastern borders.Analysts argue that Russian forces could deploy quickly in the Baltic region and could use an artificially created domestic crisis (i.e.disenfranchisement of Russian diaspora in those countries), similar to that used in the Ukraine, to show that NATO is unable to respond effectively, or not at all, to a threat posed by Russian troops and a significant naval Baltic Fleet.1 Eight countries in the UN recognize the Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol as federal subjects of Russian.When the Soviet Union broke up in 1991, Crimea became part of the independent Ukraine.2 These states joined NATO in 2004.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Qualitative · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.532
Threshold uncertainty score0.796

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.051
GPT teacher head0.384
Teacher spread0.333 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designQualitative
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2018
Admission routes1
Has abstractno

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