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Record W2900565259 · doi:10.1071/aj12044

Introducing the Kerogen LNG Project Success Index

2013· article· en· W2900565259 on OpenAlexaff
Vivek Chandra

Bibliographic record

VenueThe APPEA Journal · 2013
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicOffshore Engineering and Technologies
Canadian institutionsInro Consultants (Canada)
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGovernment (linguistics)BusinessReputationIndex (typography)Quality (philosophy)ProductivityFinanceMarketingEconomicsComputer scienceEconomic growth

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

As the number of future LNG projects—from those being constructed to speculative projects in early stages—grows globally, potential LNG buyers, project financiers, investors, partners, host governments, and contractors are struggling to evaluate which projects are more likely to be successful and thus deserving of their attention. Not all projects promoted by a particular company are of equal quality. The author has developed an easy-to-use and easy-to-understand scoring system that is neutral, objective (as much as possible), quantitative, and adaptable based on about 30 criteria, grouped into four categories:Upstream: including criteria such as 1P/3P reserves, NGL%, CO2%, access to reserves, distance to field.Above ground: including host government support, terrorist/violent activity, native rights, taxation stability, political support, government reputation, labour productivity/availability, environmental sensitivity.Technical: technology risk, contractor experience, infrastructure, and engineering stage.Company and market: operator/partner experience, type of off-taker, buyer experience, partner alignment. The scores can be weighted according to the audience priorities. Scoring represents a particular time and its score will change accordingly as a project progresses. Most Australian LNG projects being constructed, designed, and proposed will be evaluated and ranked according to the scoring system above, with up-to-date scores at the time of APPEA 2013. In addition, it is expected that key projects in other countries (in East Africa, North America, East Mediterranean) will also be evaluated to compare their rankings with Australian projects.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.014
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.012
Threshold uncertainty score0.024

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.014
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0120.008
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0060.004
Open science0.0010.004
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.007
GPT teacher head0.195
Teacher spread0.189 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2013
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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