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Record W2901567710

Fertiliser outlook: : Oversupplied and under-priced

2018· article· en· W2901567710 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueIndustrial Minerals · 2018
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicPhosphorus and nutrient management
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPotashProduction (economics)CommodityAgricultural economicsCommerceBusinessRaw materialIndustrial organizationEconomicsNatural resource economicsAgricultural scienceFinanceFertilizerMicroeconomicsEnvironmental science
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

According to Jeffery Brown, director of Vancouver-based junior mining company Encanto Potash, the commodity price swings of 2008-2012 changed the landscape of the potash market, resulting in several entities attempting to break into the market via new projects. The long-awaited merger between PotashCorp and Agrium brings the new company’s nameplate capacity to more than 20 million tpy. Since PotashCorp is one of the world’s lowest-cost producers of potash and Agrium has an extensive retail network in the US, the merger is likely to be an effective one for both firms. According to SpendEdge, suppliers in the fertilizer industry are replacing old technology with new and advanced technology, which boosts utilisation rates and lowers production costs. The company also expects raw material prices for its products to decline when it brings online additional production throughout 2018. Since higher phosphate prices have been driven by a dip in US and Chinese exports, higher raw material costs and demand from India and Brazil, Integer Research expects only a short-lived price rally.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.132
Threshold uncertainty score0.998

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.034
GPT teacher head0.238
Teacher spread0.204 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it