MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W2901567710

Fertiliser outlook: : Oversupplied and under-priced

2018· article· en· W2901567710 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Paul. Rackstraw

Bibliographic record

VenueIndustrial Minerals · 2018
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicPhosphorus and nutrient management
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPotashProduction (economics)CommodityAgricultural economicsCommerceBusinessRaw materialIndustrial organizationEconomicsNatural resource economicsAgricultural scienceFinanceFertilizerMicroeconomicsEnvironmental science
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

According to Jeffery Brown, director of Vancouver-based junior mining company Encanto Potash, the commodity price swings of 2008-2012 changed the landscape of the potash market, resulting in several entities attempting to break into the market via new projects. The long-awaited merger between PotashCorp and Agrium brings the new company’s nameplate capacity to more than 20 million tpy. Since PotashCorp is one of the world’s lowest-cost producers of potash and Agrium has an extensive retail network in the US, the merger is likely to be an effective one for both firms. According to SpendEdge, suppliers in the fertilizer industry are replacing old technology with new and advanced technology, which boosts utilisation rates and lowers production costs. The company also expects raw material prices for its products to decline when it brings online additional production throughout 2018. Since higher phosphate prices have been driven by a dip in US and Chinese exports, higher raw material costs and demand from India and Brazil, Integer Research expects only a short-lived price rally.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.037
Threshold uncertainty score0.122

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0040.003
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0370.010

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.034
GPT teacher head0.238
Teacher spread0.204 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2018
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueIndustrial MineralsSame topicPhosphorus and nutrient managementFrench-language works237,207