Shape invariant mixture model for clustering non-linear longitudinal growth trajectories
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In longitudinal studies, it is often of great interest to cluster individual trajectories based on repeated measurements taken over time. Non-linear growth trajectories are often seen in practice, and the individual data can also be measured sparsely, and at irregular time points, which may complicate the modeling process. Motivated by a study of pregnant women hormone profiles, we proposed a shape invariant growth mixture model for clustering non-linear growth trajectories. Bayesian inference via Monte Carlo Markov Chain was employed to estimate the parameters of interest. We compared our model to the commonly used growth mixture model and functional clustering approach by simulation studies. Results from analyzing the real data and simulated data were presented and discussed.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.024 | 0.031 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it