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Record W2905123945 · doi:10.1101/499400

Multiple species drive flexible lake food webs with warming

2018· preprint· en· W2905123945 on OpenAlexafffund
Timothy Bartley, Tyler D. Tunney, Nigel P. Lester, Brian J. Shuter, Robert Hanner, Kevin S. McCann

Bibliographic record

VenuebioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · 2018
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicIsotope Analysis in Ecology
Canadian institutionsMinistry of Natural Resources and ForestryUniversity of GuelphFisheries and Oceans CanadaUniversity of Toronto
FundersOntario Ministry of Natural Resources and ForestryMinistry of Natural Resources
KeywordsFood webTrophic levelGeneralist and specialist speciesEcologyForagingPelagic zoneClimate changeBiomass (ecology)Trophic cascadeHabitatEnvironmental scienceTroutForageEcosystemGlobal warmingForage fishPredationBiologyFisheryFish <Actinopterygii>

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Climate change is rewiring the food webs that determine the fate of diverse ecosystems. Mobile generalist consumers are responding to climate change by rapidly shifting their behaviour and foraging, driving food webs to flex. Although these responsive generalists form a key stabilizing module in food web structure, the extent to which they are present throughout whole food webs is largely unknown. Here, we show that multiple species comprising key trophic roles drive flexible lake food webs with warming. By examining lakes that span a 7°C air temperature gradient, we found significant reductions in nearshore derived carbon and nearshore habitat use with increased temperature in three of four fish species. We also found evidence that the response of lake trout to increased temperatures may reduce their biomass and cascade to release their preferred prey, the pelagic forage fish cisco. Our results suggest that climate warming will shift lake food webs toward increased reliance on offshore habitats and resources. We argue that species across trophic levels broadly couple lake macrohabitats, suggesting that potentially stabilizing responsive consumers are present throughout food webs. However, climate change appears to limit their ability to responsively forage, critically undermining a repeated stabilizing mechanism in food webs.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.002
Threshold uncertainty score0.005

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.200
Teacher spread0.187 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2018
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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