Impact of three Decades of Antiretroviral Therapy in a Longitudinal Population Cohort Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: We have used a comprehensive HIV population to characterize antiretroviral therapy (ART), drug class selection, pill burden, drug costs and health outcomes over the entire span of the HIV epidemic. METHODS: T-cell count and mortality) were determined for all patients in Southern Alberta, Canada, at each year-end between 1986 and 2017. Pill burden, cumulative drug exposure and costs were calculated for each year. RESULTS: The number of ARV-treated patients increased from 29.6% (77/260) in 1989 to 93.4% (1,814/1,943) in 2017. Regimen selection showed continuous adjustments for toxicity, resistance, pill burden and adherence. Dramatic improvements in outcomes were seen. In 1997, 22.4% of treated patients had an undetectable viral load, this has been consistently around 90% since 2010 (92.7% in 2017). While HIV-related annual mortality rate declined from 11.0% in 1994 to 0.1% in 2017, all-cause mortality remained relatively stable from 1997 onwards. ART pill burden escalated in 1997 (12.4/day), then decreased to 2.1/day in 2016. Mean ART cost increased in 1997 (CAN$905/month/regimen in 1997, $1,223 in 2016). Mean cumulative lifetime exposure to protease inhibitors is 5.98 ±4.9 and to nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors 8.8 ±6.2 years. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate not only the immense burden that HIV has imposed on both patients and society, but also the substantial benefit of ART on patient outcomes. They show that research, patient engagement and programme support can with time minimize the harmful long-term effects of HIV-infection.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".