Towards a Knowledge based Support for Risk Engineering When Elaborating Offer in Response to a Customer Demand
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper deals with the first ideas relevant to a knowledge based support for risk engineering when answering tenders or direct customer demands. Indeed, when an offer is defined, it becomes more and more important to analyze the possibilities of: risks occurrence, their consequences and their potential avoidance. Most of the time if it is done, this analysis is conducted manually thanks to a risk expert. In this paper, we propose to assist the expert with a risk engineering aiding tool that relies on a knowledge base and which allows to define and evaluate: (i) the risk and its probability, (ii) the main risk impacts and (iii) the interests of various corrective and preventive actions (impact and probability reductions). We first detail the problem. Then we identify risk knowledge and risk processing. This allows us proposing a knowledge model relevant to the risk engineering entities and some knowledge retrieval queries to support risk engineering.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.026 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.008 | 0.010 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Research integrity | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.007 | 0.004 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".