Investigating Validation of Armey Curve Hypothesis for G7 Countries using ARDL Model
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The effect of the government size on economic growth still keeps its unclear status despite the works in this field. According to the Armey Hypothesis (1995), which one of the studies developed for the volume of government size in economy, the increase in the public volume in economy will increase economic growth up to a certain level, and when the maximum level is reached, the increase in public volume will cause decreases in economic growth. In this study, the issues of whether the Armey Hypothesis is valid or not for G7 countries has been investigated, and the optimum public volume has been determined for G7 countries. In testing Armey Curve hypothesis, we use ARDL cointegration procedure. The results of empirical findings argue that the Armey Hypothesis is valid for US, and Canada, and France when it is invalid for other G7 countries.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".