An Application of Machine Learning to Shipping Emission Inventory
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The objective of this study is to develop a shipping emission inventory model incorporating Machine Learning (ML) tools to estimate gaseous emissions. The tools enhance the emission inventories which currently rely on emission factors. The current inventories apply varied methodologies to estimate emissions with mixed accuracy. Comprehensive Bottom-up approach have the potential to provide very accurate results but require quality input. ML models have proven to be an accurate method of predicting responses for a set of data, with emission inventories an area unexplored with ML algorithms. Five ML models were applied to the emission data with the best-fit model judged based on comparing the real mean square errors and the R-values of each model. The primary gases studied are from a vessel measurement campaign in three modes of operation; berthing, manoeuvring, and cruising. The manoeuvring phase was identified as key for model selection for which two models performed best.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.007 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".