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Record W2915921647

The UK economy [December 2003]

2003· article· en· W2915921647 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Kenneth Low

Bibliographic record

VenueStrathprints: The University of Strathclyde institutional repository (University of Strathclyde) · 2003
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicRegional Development and Policy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsQuarter (Canadian coin)EconomicsUnemploymentConsumption (sociology)Investment (military)Real gross domestic productUnemployment rateChinaWorld economyEconomyMacroeconomicsGeography
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The situation in the world economy is slightly more promising since the last quarter although the short-run prospects for the Euro Area have worsened marginally. The US and the Far East drive growth and trade respectively. China in particular is experiencing strong growth. Japan has performed above expectations. Interest rates remain low and there are few significant inflationary worries. The UK labour market remains buoyant with a steadily rising employment rate and low unemployment. UK real GDP growth is forecast to be 2.0 per cent in 2003, up from 1.7 per cent in the previous quarter. The forecast for 2004 is 2.6 per cent, again revised up from 2.3 per cent in the last quarter. Consumption and government spending remain the main components of demand but as the recovery sets in we expect investment to become more important. As previously forecast unemployment is expected to remain at low levels with steady employment growth during the year. The outlook for the UK economy is good.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScience and technology studies
Consensus categoriesScience and technology studies
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.970
Threshold uncertainty score0.998

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0060.005
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.216
Teacher spread0.200 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2003
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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