Routine Assessment of Patient Index Data 3 and the American College of Rheumatology/European League Against Rheumatism Provisional Remission Definitions as Predictors of Radiographic Outcome in a Rheumatoid Arthritis Clinical Trial With Tocilizumab
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: The American College of Rheumatology/European League Against Rheumatism established definitions of remission for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) based on composite scores, including tender (TJC) and swollen joint counts (SJC), patient global visual analog scale (VAS) score, laboratory tests, and, in the Simplified Disease Activity Index (SDAI), the physician global score. Time constraints on a physician's schedule demand an easy yet accurate tool to measure disease activity. We assessed the predictive ability of the Routine Assessment of Patient Index Data 3 (RAPID3) with and without a single swollen joint versus the SDAI and/or Boolean remission criteria for functional and radiographic outcomes. METHODS: Data were from the Tocilizumab Safety and the Prevention of Structural Joint Damage phase III trial in RA patients. We assessed the ability at year 1 of a RAPID3 score of ≤3 + 1 SJC, RAPID3 score of ≤3 (remission) without SJC, SDAI score of ≤3.3 (remission), and/or Boolean remission (SJC, TJC, patient global VAS, and C-reactive protein level [mg/dl] all ≤1) to predict year 2 Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) disability index (DI) score of ≤0.5 (normal), no worsening of HAQ DI score from year 1, and no worsening of Genant-modified Total Sharp Score from year 1. RESULTS: Among 690 patients, the mean ± SD baseline Disease Activity Score in 28 joints was 6.5 ± 0.96, RAPID3 score was 14.2 ± 5.51, and the SDAI score was 41.7 ± 13.01. Achieving year 1 measures was associated with good functional and radiographic outcomes at year 2. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values, and negative predictive values were 49.1%, 83.2%, 37.4%, and 88.9% (RAPID3 remission); 26.4%, 91.7%, 36.8%, and 87.1% (RAPID3 + 1 SJC); 26.7%, 90.9%, 37.3%, and 85.9% (SDAI remission); and 17.0%, 96.6%, 47.4%, and 86.4% (Boolean remission), respectively. CONCLUSION: The predictive ability of RAPID3 (with or without joint count) was similar to that of SDAI and Boolean criteria.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.013 | 0.016 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".