Failure Modeling of a Propulsion Subsystem: Unsupervised and Semi-Supervised Approaches to Anomaly Detection
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this work, the sensor data related to a diesel engine system and specifically its turbocharger subsystem were analyzed. An incident where the turbocharger seized was recorded by dozens of standard turbocharger-related sensors. By training models to distinguish between normal healthy operating conditions and deteriorated conditions, there is an opportunity to develop prognostic and predictive tools to ideally help prevent a similar occurrence in the future. Analysis of this event provides an opportunity to identify changes in equipment indicators with a known outcome. A number of data analysis tools were used to characterize the healthy and deteriorated states of the turbocharger system, including various supervised classification as well as semi-supervised and unsupervised anomaly detection techniques. The leader clustering algorithm was also implemented to reduce the amount of data to train and develop the models. This paper describes the results of this modeling process, validated by testing on healthy data from the same propulsion system and a second distinct one. Although this problem posed challenges due to the severely imbalanced class distribution, the supervised classifiers, in particular Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forest (RF), performed very well in all metrics while the unsupervised anomaly detection models achieved near-perfect accuracy for identifying healthy turbocharger states.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".