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Impact of climate change on disease scenario in crops

2019· article· en· W2919193161 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Harender Raj Gautam

Bibliographic record

VenueAgricultural Research Journal · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicPlant Pathogens and Resistance
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsClimate changeAgroforestryDiseaseBiotechnologyAgronomyGeographyEnvironmental scienceBiologyMedicineEcologyPathology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Climate change has posed a grim situation in front of us as global temperatures are rising unabated with imminent effect on production and productivity of crops. There is evidence that climate change has already negatively affected wheat and maize yields in many regions. Effect of climate change is also visible on plant-pathogens interactions generally in terms of their higher incidence, more severity and their wider geographical distribution. Pathogens still claim 10–16% of the global harvest. Climate models predict a gradual rise in CO2 concentration and temperature all over the world. Elevated levels of CO2 can directly affect the growth of pathogens. Changes in temperature and precipitation will alter the growth stage, development rate and pathogenicity of the plant pathogens and also physiology and resistance of the host plants. A change in temperature could directly affect the spread of infectious diseases and their survival between the seasons. Published observations on the distribution of 612 crop pests collected over the past 50 years indicate that crop pests have been spreading north and south a little less than 2 miles (3.2 km) a year since 1960. Specifically, losses from stripe rust of wheat were reported from just 11 of the 48 continental US states during the period 1960–1999, whereas during 2000–2014, the disease was reported in a total of 26 states in US and three Canadian provinces. Changing disease scenario with climate change emphasizes the need for developing regular monitoring, forecasting and early warning systems for important host-pathogens which have a direct bearing on the earnings of the farmers and food security at large. Further, adaptation through diversification will be required, which will produce changes in the crop profile that will have effects on disease incidence and severity.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.525
Threshold uncertainty score0.485

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.071
GPT teacher head0.334
Teacher spread0.263 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2019
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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