The factors associated with hemorrhagic presentation in children with untreated brain arteriovenous malformation: a meta-analysis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Rupture of arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) would result in high mortality and prevalence of disability in pediatric patients. Decisions regarding the treatment of AVMs need to weigh the risk of rupture over the course of their natural history against the possibility of creating a lesion during treatment. Multiple factors have been proposed to predict hemorrhagic presentation of pediatric patients with AVMs. The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the predictors of hemorrhagic presentation in pediatric patients with AVMs. METHODS The authors searched the PubMed and EMBASE databases. Studies reporting the predictors of hemorrhagic presentation in children with untreated brain AVMs were included. The predictive ability of identified predictors was assessed by odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS A higher risk of hemorrhagic presentation was found in AVMs with smaller size (< 3 cm, OR 2.97, 95% CI 1.94–4.54, p < 0.00001), deep venous drainage (OR 2.28, 95% CI 1.55–3.36, p < 0.0001), a single draining vein (OR 2.23, 95% CI 1.27–3.92, p = 0.005), a single feeder (OR 3.72, 95% CI 1.31–10.62, p = 0.01), a deep location (OR 1.82, 95% CI 1.22–2.72, p = 0.004), an infratentorial location (OR 2.25, 95% CI 1.19–4.26, p = 0.01), and diffuse morphology (OR 8.94, 95% CI 3.01–26.55, p < 0.0001). In addition, the AVMs with draining vein ectasia (OR 0.35, 95% CI 0.13–0.97, p = 0.04) and high Spetzler-Martin (SM) grade (OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.36–0.78, p = 0.001) had a lower risk of hemorrhagic presentation in pediatric patients. CONCLUSIONS Smaller AVMs, deep venous drainage, a single draining vein, a single feeder, deep/infratentorial location, diffuse morphology, and high SM grade were identified as positive predictors for hemorrhagic presentation. Particularly, patients with diffuse AVMs have a higher risk of hemorrhagic presentation than other factors and may need active treatments. However, factors such as age, sex, draining vein stenosis, and associated aneurysms were not associated with hemorrhagic presentation. ABBREVIATIONS AVM = arteriovenous malformation; CI = confidence interval; NOS = Newcastle-Ottawa Scale; OR = odds ratio; SM = Spetzler-Martin.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".