Interwell connectivity analysis in a low-permeability formation using a modified Capacitance Model with application to the East Pembina Field, Cardium Formation, Alberta
Bibliographic record
Abstract
From the 1950s to the present, the Cardium Formation has been extensively produced. Exploitation has moved from the high-permeability western areas to very heterogeneous lower permeability, “halo-oil” regions in the east. In this case study, we briefly summarize the geology and assess the degree of interwell communication in selected areas from the East Pembina Field. For the Interwell Connectivity (IWC) evaluation, we use a modified version of the Capacitance Model (CM-PW) for connectivity analysis in areal windows. The CM has been used to analyze flow rates to measure IWC. The direction of the largest IWC change agrees with the expected maximum stress direction in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. The model also captures differences between pre- and post-fracturing connectivities. The matches of predicted to measured production using the CM-PW are fair to good, 0.76 ≤ R 2 ≤ 0.95.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".