Absence of Day 3 Steroid Response Predicts Colitis-Related Complications and Colectomy in Hospitalized Ulcerative Colitis Patients
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background and Aims Rates and predictors of complications among hospitalized ulcerative colitis (UC) patients requiring high-dose corticosteroids have not been well-characterized, especially in the era of biologics. Methods We retrospectively studied consecutive UC admitted for a colitis flare requiring high-dose corticosteroids between April 2006 and December 2016. We evaluated rates and determinants of serious in-hospital complications (colitis-related complications, systemic complications, peri-operative complications and death) and colectomy. We performed multivariable logistic regression analysis to assess the independent association between day 3 steroid response and the risk of incurring in-hospital complications and colectomy. Results Of 427 consecutive admissions, serious in-hospital complications occurred in 87 cases (20%), while colitis-related complications occurred in 47 cases (11%). There were significantly fewer colitis-related complications during the 2012 to 2016 period as compared to the 2006 to 2011 period (7% versus 16%, P < 0.01), but significantly more systemic complications (16% versus 5%, P = 0.001). In-hospital colectomy occurred in 50 hospitalizations (12%). Day 3 steroid response was achieved in 167 hospitalizations (39%). Day 3 steroid nonresponse was significantly associated with colitis-related complications among males (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 8.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.77 to 38.17), but not among females (aOR 1.39, 95% CI 0.54 to 3.60). Older age, C. difficile infection and admission to a non-gastroenterology service were also associated with a higher risk of in-hospital complications. Day 3 steroid nonresponse was significantly associated with in-hospital colectomy (aOR 10.10, 95% CI 3.56 to 28.57). Conclusion In our series of UC hospitalizations for a colitis flare, absence of day 3 steroid response was associated with an increased risk of colitis-related complications among males and of in-hospital colectomy. Clinicians should recognize the importance of early steroid response as a marker to guide the need for treatment optimization.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".