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Record W2926133713 · doi:10.20491/isarder.2019.619

Oil Prices and Stock Markets: An Empirical Analysis From Russia, Canada, USA and Japan

2019· article· en· W2926133713 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Hasan Kurtar, Ayhan Kapusuzoğlu, Nildağ Başak Ceylan

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Business Research - Turk · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicMarket Dynamics and Volatility
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCointegrationEconomicsStock (firearms)Stock marketJohansen testOil priceProfitability indexMonetary economicsCrude oilBrent CrudeStock market indexFinancial economicsEconometricsError correction modelFinanceGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Purpose – The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between oil prices and stock markets at the aggregate and sector level in countries which have different characteristics. Design/methodology/approach – The relationship among stock markets, sectoral stock indices and oil price changes are examined for Russia and Canada which are net oil exporters and United States and Japan which are net oil importers by using Johansen cointegration test. Findings – The findings of this study show that there are significant and mostly positive relationships between Russian MOEX stock market indices and crude oil prices. However; significant Johansen cointegration between Brent Crude Oil prices and most of the Canadian, U.S. and Japanese stock market aggregate and sectoral indices are not reported. Discussion – According to the findings, it can be stated that the long term relationship between stock market indices and crude oil prices is related to the changing conditions in the profitability of the corporations, inflation and monetary policy as a reaction to moving oil prices.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.171
Threshold uncertainty score0.344

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.053
GPT teacher head0.308
Teacher spread0.254 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2019
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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