A Positive Causal Influence of IL-18 Levels on the Risk of T2DM: A Mendelian Randomization Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
A large number of clinical studies have shown that interleukin-18 (IL-18) plasma levels are positively correlated with the pathogenesis and development of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but it remains unclear whether IL-18 causes T2DM, primarily due to the influence of reverse causality and residual confounding factors. Genome-wide association studies have led to the discovery of numerous common variants associated with IL-18 and T2DM and opened unprecedented opportunities for investigating possible associations between genetic traits and diseases. In this study, we employed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) method to analyze the causal relationships between IL-18 plasma levels and T2DM using IL18-related SNPs as genetic instrumental variables (IVs). We first selected eight SNPs that were significantly associated with IL-18 but independent of T2DM. We then used these SNPs as IVs to evaluate their effects on T2DM using the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method. Finally, we conducted sensitivity analysis and MR-Egger regression analysis to evaluate the heterogeneity and pleiotropic effects of each variant. The results based on the IVW method demonstrate that high IL-18 plasma levels significantly increase the risk of T2DM, and no heterogeneity or pleiotropic effects appeared after the sensitivity and MR-Egger analyses.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.020 | 0.038 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".