Prioritization of the vector factors controlling <i>Emiliania huxleyi</i> blooms in subarctic and arctic seas: A multidimensional statistical approach
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract. Producing very extensive blooms in the world's oceans in both hemispheres, a coccolithophore E. huxleyi is capable of affecting both the marine ecology and carbon fluxes at the atmosphere-ocean interface. At the same time, it is subject to the impact of multiple co-acting environmental forcings, which determine the spatio-temporal dynamics of E. huxleyi blooming phenomenon. To reveal the individual importance of each forcing factor (FF) that is known to significantly control the extent and intensity of E. huxleyi blooms and can be retrieved from remote sensing data, we used long-term spatial time series (1998–2016) of sea surface temperature and salinity, incident photosynthetically active radiation, and Ekman layer depth relevant to the marine environments located in the North Atlantic, Arctic and North Pacific oceans, namely the North, Norwegian, Greenland, Labrador, Barents and Bering seas. The FFs retrieved were subjected to statistical analyses. The descriptive statistical approach has shown that E. huxleyi phytoplankton were highly adaptive to the environmental conditions and capable of arising and developing within wide FFs ranges, which proved to be expressly sea-specific. It was also found that there were FFs optimal ranges (also sea-specific), within which the blooms were particularly extensive. The application of the Random Forest Classifier (RFC) approach to each target sea allowed to reliably rank the FFs considered in terms of their role in the spatio-temporal dynamics of E. huxleyi blooms. With the only exception of the Bering Sea, allegedly due to temporally established untypical hydrological conditions, the prediction ability of RFC modeling characterized in terms of precision, recall, and f1-score generally was in excess of 70 %, thus indicating the adequacy of the developed models for FFs prioritization with regard to E. huxleyi blooms.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".