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Record W2937335085 · doi:10.5194/tc-2019-72

The Impact of Climate on Surging at Donjek Glacier, Yukon, Canada

2019· article· en· W2937335085 on OpenAlexafffundabout
William Kochtitzky, Dominic Winski, Erin McConnel, K. J. Kreutz, Seth Campbell, Ellyn M. Enderlin, Luke Copland, Scott Williamson, Brittany Main, Christine F. Dow, Hester Jiskoot

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicCryospheric studies and observations
Canadian institutionsUniversity of LethbridgeUniversity of WaterlooUniversity of Ottawa
FundersDivision of Graduate EducationNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaDartmouth CollegeCanada Research ChairsUniversity of MaineUniversity of OttawaNational Science Foundation
KeywordsSurgeGlacierSnowIce fieldPrecipitationClimatologyClimate changeGlacier mass balanceAccumulation zoneGeologyPhysical geographyEnvironmental scienceMeteorologyGeographyCryosphereOceanographySea iceIce streamGeomorphology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract. Links between climate and glacier surges are not well understood, but are required to enable prediction of glacier surges and mitigation of associated hazards. Here, we investigate the role of snow accumulation and temperature on surge periodicity, glacier area changes, and timing of surge initiation since the 1930s for Donjek Glacier, Yukon, Canada. Snow accumulation measured in three ice cores collected at Eclipse Icefield, at the head of the glacier, indicate that a cumulative accumulation of 13.1–17.7 m w.e. of snow occurred in the 10–12 years between each of its last eight surges. This suggests that a cumulative accumulation threshold must be passed before the initiation of a surge event, although it remains unclear whether the relationship between cumulative snowfall and surging is due to the consistency in repeat surge interval and decadal average precipitation, or if it is indeed a prerequisite to surging. We also examined the 1968 to 2017 climate record from Burwash Landing, 30 km from the glacier, to determine whether a relationship exists between surge periodicity and an increase of 2.5 °C in mean annual air temperature over this period. No such relationship was found, although each of the past 8 surge events has been less extensive than the previous, with the terminus area approximately 7.96 km2 smaller after the 2012–2014 surge event compared to the ~ 1947 surge event. This study shows that the impacts of climate and surging is not yet understood and suggests that internal glacier processes may play a more important role in controlling glacier surge events.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.021
Threshold uncertainty score0.068

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.207
Teacher spread0.198 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2019
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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