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Record W2940480906 · doi:10.1017/s0266466621000451

IDENTIFICATION OF REGRESSION MODELS WITH A MISCLASSIFIED AND ENDOGENOUS BINARY REGRESSOR

2021· preprint· en· W2940480906 on OpenAlexaff
Hiroyuki Kasahara, Katsumi Shimotsu

Bibliographic record

VenueEconometric Theory · 2021
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods and Inference
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
FundersJapan Society for the Promotion of ScienceYale University
KeywordsCovariateEndogeneityInstrumental variableStatisticsBinary numberEconometricsNonparametric statisticsVariable (mathematics)MathematicsRegressionRegression analysisVariablesObservational errorOutcome (game theory)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

We study identification in nonparametric regression models with a misclassified and endogenous binary regressor when an instrument is correlated with misclassification error. We show that the regression function is nonparametrically identified if one binary instrument variable and one binary covariate satisfy the following conditions. The instrumental variable corrects endogeneity; the instrumental variable must be correlated with the unobserved true underlying binary variable, must be uncorrelated with the error term in the outcome equation, but is allowed to be correlated with the misclassification error. The covariate corrects misclassification; this variable can be one of the regressors in the outcome equation, must be correlated with the unobserved true underlying binary variable, and must be uncorrelated with the misclassification error. We also propose a mixture-based framework for modeling unobserved heterogeneous treatment effects with a misclassified and endogenous binary regressor and show that treatment effects can be identified if the true treatment effect is related to an observed regressor and another observable variable.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.035
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.143
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.035
Threshold uncertainty score0.188

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0350.143
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0040.003
Bibliometrics0.0020.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.003
Scholarly communication0.0030.004
Open science0.0040.003
Research integrity0.0030.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.156
GPT teacher head0.335
Teacher spread0.179 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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