Integrated Microsimulation Framework for Dynamic Pedestrian Movement Estimation in Mobility Hub
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We present an integrated microsimulation framework to estimate the pedestrian movement over time and space with limited data on directional counts. Using the activity-based approach, simulation can compute the overall demand and trajectory of each agent, which are in accordance with the available partial observations and are in response to the initial and evolving supply conditions and schedules. This simulation contains a chain of processes including: activities generation, decision point choices, and assignment. They are considered in an iteratively updating loop so that the simulation can dynamically correct its estimates of demand. A Markov chain is constructed for this loop. These considerations transform the problem into a convergence problem. A Metropolitan Hasting algorithm is then adapted to identify the optimal solution. This framework can be used to fill the lack of data or to model the reactions of demand to exogenous changes in the scenario. Finally, we present a case study on Montreal Central Station, on which we tested the developed framework and calibrated the models. We then applied it to a possible future scenario for the same station.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".