Wishart planted ensemble: A tunably rugged pairwise Ising model with a first-order phase transition
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We propose the Wishart planted ensemble, a class of zero-field Ising models with tunable algorithmic hardness and specifiable (or planted) ground state. The problem class arises from a simple procedure for generating a family of random integer programming problems with specific statistical symmetry properties but turns out to have intimate connections to a sign-inverted variant of the Hopfield model. The Hamiltonian contains only 2-spin interactions, with the coupler matrix following a type of Wishart distribution. The class exhibits a classical first-order phase transition in temperature. For some parameter settings the model has a locally stable paramagnetic state, a feature which correlates strongly with difficulty in finding the ground state and suggests an extremely rugged energy landscape. We analytically probe the ensemble thermodynamic properties by deriving the Thouless-Anderson-Palmer equations and free energy and corroborate the results with a replica and annealed approximation analysis; extensive Monte Carlo simulations confirm our predictions of the first-order transition temperature. The class exhibits a wide variation in algorithmic hardness as a generation parameter is varied, with a pronounced easy-hard-easy profile and peak in solution time towering many orders of magnitude over that of the easy regimes. By deriving the ensemble-averaged energy distribution and taking into account finite-precision representation, we propose an analytical expression for the location of the hardness peak and show that at fixed precision, the number of constraints in the integer program must increase with system size to yield truly hard problems. The Wishart planted ensemble is interesting for its peculiar physical properties and provides a useful and analytically transparent set of problems for benchmarking optimization algorithms.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it